The record
Every prediction.
Every loss.
Brier score on the 1,094 settled matches with a bookmaker price since 8 July 2026. Lower is better.
Even our best model is closer to guessing than to the Bookies. Not good enough yet, and that stays on the page.
Our modelson the same matches
| Model | Score | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| The Bookies | 0.5951 | 1,094 |
| Avenger | 0.6303 | 1,060 |
| Jackson | 0.6309 | 1,078 |
| Alix | 0.6312 | 829 |
| Kestrel | 0.6455 | 662 |
| Guessing the average | 0.6491 | 1,094 |
Data v Gutpicks right
BOOKIE BASHER
63.2%12 of 19 - thin sample
COUPON CRUSHER
64.0%16 of 25 - thin sample
Latest resultsAlix's most likely outcome
Grasshoppers v FC Sionright · 2-5Tue 15 Sep · Alix: FC Sion win 40%
Raków Częstochowa v Zaglebie Lubinwrong · 2-3Tue 15 Sep · Alix: Raków Częstochowa win 38%
SC Braga v Estorilright · 1-0Mon 14 Sep · Alix: SC Braga win 50%
Moreirense v Maritimoright · 3-1Mon 14 Sep · Alix: Moreirense win 41%
Leeds v Newcastleright · 4-1Mon 14 Sep · Alix: Leeds win 44%
Villarreal v Real Betiswrong · 1-2Mon 14 Sep · Alix: Villarreal win 45%
Inter v Udineseright · 5-3Mon 14 Sep · Alix: Inter win 59%
Rio Ave v Estrelawrong · 3-3Mon 14 Sep · Alix: Rio Ave win 38%
Bodo/Glimt v Sandefjordright · 3-2Mon 14 Sep · Alix: Bodo/Glimt win 55%
Gaziantep FK v Fenerbahçewrong · 0-0Mon 14 Sep · Alix: Fenerbahçe win 43%
FC Midtjylland v Brondbyright · 4-1Mon 14 Sep · Alix: FC Midtjylland win 49%
Radomiak Radom v Piast Gliwicewrong · 0-2Mon 14 Sep · Alix: Radomiak Radom win 44%